Rep. Greg Steube (R-FL) said Tuesday that Florida’s primary election results are a promising indicator for Republicans hoping to hold onto their razor-thin House majority, suggesting the state could be the deciding factor in November’s midterm elections.
Appearing on Fox Business Network’s “The Evening Edit,” Steube pointed to early turnout figures showing a dramatic Republican advantage in the Sunshine State, which he argued bodes well for the party’s chances of picking up additional seats.
“The House majority could flow through the great state of Florida,” Steube told host Elizabeth MacDonald.
The Florida Republican noted that with Republicans currently holding only a two- or three-vote majority in the House, the party cannot afford to lose seats elsewhere. He argued that capturing four additional seats in Florida would create a “buffer of seven additional seats” and protect the GOP’s control of the chamber.
Steube cited early statewide primary numbers that he said showed more than half a million Republicans had voted, compared with roughly 236,000 Democrats—a difference he described as Republicans “doubling” Democratic turnout, with Republicans holding what he called a “$1.5 million voter advantage” in the state.
“That is boding very well for us going into the general election,” he said.
Steube, who represents Florida’s 17th Congressional District, argued that strong primary participation is a reliable predictor of general election turnout.
“If Republicans are showing up to vote in the primary election, you know those primary voters are going to show up to vote in the general election,” he said, adding that “if we are outperforming Democrats by double, two to one, that shows very well for those four additional seats that were redrawn.”
The comments come as Republicans aim to expand their majority in the House, with Florida viewed as a key battleground in that effort. The state’s newly redrawn congressional districts have been the subject of legal and political fights, and GOP leaders have expressed confidence that the map will yield additional Republican seats.
Steube’s remarks were in direct response to MacDonald’s question about the importance of the midterms, which she framed as critical given what she described as an “intensifying push by Democrat socialist communists.”
While primary turnout does not always guarantee general election success, Steube’s optimism reflects a broader GOP strategy centered on Florida as a firewall against potential losses in other parts of the country.
Political analysts note that Florida has trended Republican in recent cycles, with the party making significant gains among Hispanic voters and suburban voters in the state. The state’s three Republican House members—including Steube, Matt Gaetz, and Byron Donalds—have become prominent voices in the national party, and Florida’s influence in the GOP’s internal politics has grown accordingly.
Still, Democrats have pushed back against the notion that Florida is out of reach, pointing to competitive races in the Orlando and Miami areas where they believe the new maps may have created opportunities.
For now, Steube is focused on the numbers he sees in Republican primaries. He emphasized that the GOP’s ability to hold the House could hinge on Florida’s performance.
“If we pick up four seats in Florida, that could be a buffer of seven additional seats, and it protects us against losing seats across the country,” he reiterated.
Florida’s primary election took place Tuesday, with results still being counted at the time of Steube’s interview. The general election is scheduled for November.
Source: www.breitbart.com — https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2026/08/19/gop-rep-steube-the-house-majority-could-flow-through-the-great-state-of-florida/